Today rocketc writes a guest post for My Dollar Plan. He’s a dad of three who enjoys teaching his kids about money, a subject close to my heart! Find more of his articles at Rocket Finance and subscribe to the Rocket feed.

red sunset

Photography: Red Sunset by ponanwi

I want to thank Madison for giving me the opportunity to guest post today. She has a much wider audience than my little old blog, please forgive me if I show a little stage fright.

Madison writes about retirement on a regular basis and I want you to consider your retirement goals today. Not how much money you want to save, not your target age to retire, but how do you plan to spend your retirement time and money?

Jacob and Lilly

Jacob was born to a 16 year old unwed mother during the depression. He grew up on his grandparent’s dairy farm and did not live with his birth mother until the age of twelve. He never knew his real father. His mother would marry three times.

Lilly’s father left her family when she was nine. After World War II, Jacob and Lilly were married and began a family of their own, while continuing to work and save. Both retired with decent pensions and large savings. Over the last twenty years, Jacob and Lilly have spent their retirement on their 17 grandchildren and 10 great-grandchildren.

Someone recently criticized a purchase that benefited several of their offspring: “But, if you buy that, you won’t have a large inheritance to leave to your family.” However, Jacob and Lilly want to give to their children and grandchildren and great grandchildren and enjoy the benefits of generosity during their lifetime – not in a bequest after death. Jacob and Lilly invested their nest egg in their family and the inheritance that will be left to the family is the loving legacy of a 60+ year marriage.

Donald and Margie

Donald and Margie had no children. They live as frugally as possible – they built their own home and regularly shop second hand stores. Donald and Margie work in full-time Christian ministry where the pay is not great – their combined income is just over $60,000, however with disciplined living and great investing, Donald and Margie are on target to be worth over 12 million dollars at retirement.

In 2001, the year that contained the stock market crash and September 11th, Donald beat the market by 8%.  The couple can retire anytime they like, spend the rest of their lives traveling the world, and still have money to spare. Instead, they both plan to work until close to the age of 70 and what are the plans for the nest egg? It is to be given away. Donald and Margie cannot wait to donate the gift of a life time to the ministry that they love and where they have invested their lives. Actually, they will give two lifetimes – the lifetime spent in physical work and the lifetime spent in frugal living and careful investing.

Arnie

Arnie graduated from college and immediately went to work at the local foundry. He started as a machinist, but quickly moved up through the ranks. He was the son of two German immigrants, never married and continued to live at home. He eventually became a vice president in the manufacturing corporation, only to retire at the age of 44.

Why should he continue to work? He was independently wealthy and his parents had saved their whole lives – he would inherit all of it. So how does a 44 year old retiree spend his retirement? By devoting the rest of his life to an inner-city homeless shelter. He ladles soup, does small repairs, counsels “customers” and when they get in a financial pinch, he takes care of that problem, too.

Pastor Glehn

And then there is Pastor Glehn. Mild mannered with a sense of humor, he has pastored several small churches across the Midwest. He is the son of an investment banker from Chicago and learned how to take care of money at his father’s knee. His father was wealthy by any standard and Pastor Glehn was an only child. At the time of his father’s passing, he had no need to work every again, but Glehn wanted something different out of life. He remained in the ministry, and continued to add to the inheritance by frugal living and conservative investing.

Pastor Glehn still types his sermons on a manual typewriter and keeps careful records. He can tell you what his wife spent on soap or anything else in 1974 – or any other year about which you would like to inquire. He is 83 years old and still a full-time pastor. He claims that he is going to “die with his boots on” and spend his retirement in heaven. His multi-million dollar portfolio will go to his church and his children.

These are true stories, different names, but true stories.

So what about you? What are your retirement plans? Live a comfortable, worry-free life with the occasional cruise or round of golf or fishing trip or garden club meeting? Retirement from your 9 to 5 is not just about the amount of money and the right age. It is about being free to do whatever you want. At that moment of your life, when you can do anything you want, what will you choose?

If you read My Dollar Plan, you will learn how to be financially secure, but don’t allow acquiring a big nest egg to be your only reason for life.


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I’ve caught the game show Deal or No Deal twice over the last couple weeks and it’s driving me crazy! It’s a mathematical game but the contestants don’t play it mathematically. It’s getting to the point where I can’t watch it anymore!

Deal or No Deal

How the Game Works

If you haven’t seen the show, it’s a pretty simple concept. At the beginning of the game the contestant selects a briefcase containing an unknown sum of money. Throughout the game a “banker” offers the contestant a flat sum to walk away from the game (Deal) or give up the money for a chance to open their own case (No Deal).

During each round the number of cases to open changes as does the offer from the bank. The smallest amount is $0.01 and the largest amount is $1 million.

Decision Making

First I watched an episode where the player had 2 cases remaining with the following dollar amounts:

  • $0.01
  • $10,000

The offer from the bank was $5,500. What would you do? Unfortunately she didn’t take the offer, opened her case and was the first player to leave the show with one penny. Would it change your opinion if earlier she had already given up many higher offers, the highest at $207,000?

I also caught a variation of the game show on Oprah. The two final cases contained these amounts:

  • $5,000
  • $75,000

The offer from the bank was $50,000. Oprah chose to open the case…. and guess what it contained? Of course it only had the lower amount in it.

Expected Outcome

This expected outcome can easily be calculated in this game. The formula for expected outcome is:

\operatorname{E}(X) = \int_\Omega X\, \operatorname{d}F(x)\,

See the mathematical definition for more information.

A simple example from wikipedia is the expected value when you roll a die:

 \begin{align} \operatorname{E}(X)& = 1 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 2 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 3 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 4 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 5 \cdot \frac{1}{6} + 6 \cdot \frac{1}{6}\\[6pt] & = \frac{1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6}{6} = 3.5, \end{align}  

In the examples above, the expected outcome for $0.01 and $10,000 is $5,000.005. Of course there isn’t a half penny, but the offer of $5,500 is almost $500 above the expected outcome.

In the second example, the expected outcome for $5,000 and $75,000 is $40,000. The offer of $50,000 was $10,000 above the expected outcome!

What I Would Do

It pains me to watch this show. In both cases I would take the deal. In general I don’t have much risk aversion, but this type of game is all math to me. If the offer from the bank is more than the expected outcome, I will walk. I have discussed it with various family members and found some opinions are very different from mine.

I consider the money in each round already mine. In the first example, if you came up to me on the street and asked me to bet $5,500 to win either a penny or $10,000, I would think you are nuts! My money has no business participating in that kind of expected loss.

Other Considerations

Of course, it’s really easy for me to sit at home yelling at the t.v. Under the lights, with adrenaline pumping, and playing for real, I might make a different decision. I really can’t say for sure. Not to mention the family members you bring along that try to convince you which way to go. 

The amount of money also has some bearing on whether following a mathematical equation makes sense. In the first example people might be more willing to risk $5,500 than they would $40,000. And Oprah has a lot of money, so her threshold is probably much higher than other people.

Action Plan

I’d like to think that I know I would adhere to mathematical principles in a mathematical game. It’s probably also the same reason I wouldn’t ever be invited to be on the show, because they would know exactly what I would do in any given situation.

This isn’t to say that I don’t gamble, I do… more about that some other day!

Deal or No Deal?


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Due to the recent credit card debate, I didn’t get a chance to read through all of the carnivals last week. Therefore this week’s edition will be a double edition including the carnivals from this week and last week!

Here’s the carnivals from this week with my article and my favorite article from each:

Carnival of Personal Finance #134

Carnival of financial goals

Carnival of Money Stories

And here’s the carnivals from last week:

Carnival of Personal Finance #133

Carnival of Money Stories

Festival of Frugality

Carnival of Debt Reduction

Finally, there’s a new carnival in town! Check out the first edition of the Carnival of Peer to Peer Lending @ Lazy Man and Money. I didn’t submit an article, but I might in the future, as I just signed up with Prosper to check it out.


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Featured today is a guest post from Plonkee who writes at Plonkee Money. Plonkee lives in the UK, enjoys writing about personal finance and loves books! Be sure to subscribe to the Plonkee feed for more great articles.

Oia

Photography: Oia by Wolfgang Staudt

I don’t know what it’s like in the US, but here in the UK, it’s reasonably common for people to take a gap year between finishing school and going to University. The typical gapper will spend several months working in a menial job, and then take off for a few months travelling the globe with the traditional route through Thailand, Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, the USA and Canada.

Now, it could be argued that people would be better served by going to Uni as early as possible, getting their degree as soon as they can and then getting out into the workforce to earn, save and invest for a rich future. And, I shouldn’t really argue since that’s more or less what I did – although not deliberately.

But, I think that’s missing several important points. Firstly, the life experience gained by travelling is immense – even though most people spend most of their time in developed English speaking countries, nearly everyone goes to a less developed country at some point – if only because it’s so cheap. Coping with different cultures at the age of 18, certainly helps you grow up and makes you more self-reliant. On starting Uni, it’s always easy to pick out the very independent ex-gap year freshers.

Secondly, the very act of travelling independently on a budget is good practice – you learn to cut costs, snaffle out good deals and save money on the less important things so that you can afford to go bungee jumping in Queenstown, New Zealand. Not only are these skills useful for life as an impoverished student, they’re invaluable in the rest of your working and non-working life too.

Finally, and most importantly, the money for a gap year trip is saved up by the 18 year old themselves. They work hard for the money, and they need to make sacrifices in order to go – because there’s only a year to do it all in, and if there isn’t enough money then the trip will have to be cut short. The discipline of saving up for the things that you want to do, and paying for everything in cash, is one that everyone needs to learn at some point, better at 18 than at 30, or 40, or even later.

And a round the world trip as a lesson in personal finance is certainly one of the more enjoyable ways to learn.

 


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We were supposed to fly home on Sunday. Luckily my mom noticed all the incoming flights were canceled and gave us a call. I’d much rather extend our vacation than be stranded in O’hare with two infants unable to get to our carseats.

Unfortunately I had already spent about 2 hours trying to pack our suitcases squeezing in all the Christmas presents. It took 4 calls to United to rebook, being cut off three times, once on hold for almost an hour. We finally got through and got a flight out next weekend.

So here we are, adding an extra week of vacation! Of course there are some things that take time to figure out when you unexpectedly extend your vacation:

  • Upcoming bills to pay without the mail. Good thing I’m organized!
  • A mail hold expiring. We have tiny mailboxes, but I’m sure the mailman will figure it out.
  • How to pay our nanny….
  • Reschedule any appointments we had in the upcoming week. This one is a little tricky. Normally I use my blackberry, but since I’m on maternity leave, I’ve just been using a paper calendar posted on our bulletin board. Oops.
  • Celebrating my son’s birthday with his presents at home.

The Roundup

My roundup was delayed by the great credit card debate with Ana at Debt Free Revolution this weekend. Here’s two of my favorites: Ways Credit Card Companies Separate You From Your Money and 25 Reasons to Love Credit Cards. The comments are igniting a lot of passion on both sides. Be sure to share your friendly views!

Being Frugal set up her goals for the new year. Gather Little By Little is also looking ahead with 6 ways to kick off personal finance in the new year and Five Cent Nickel highlighted his financial goals for 2008. Flexo at Consumerism Commentary also documented his goals. I need to get mine done soon! I have our 2008 overall plan done, but not my individual 2008 goals yet. Stay tuned to see what they are.

Here’s more articles I enjoyed:

While we enjoy another week of vacation I have some great guest posts in store for you!


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